CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-07-11T19:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-07-11T19:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/25917/-1
CME Note: Bright southern partial halo CME with a wider faint shock front. Its source is a large filament eruption with deep dimming and high post-eruptive arcades occurring in southern hemisphere south of AR 3363 around 2023-07-11T19:15Z (SDO 304,193, EUVI A 195, 304) centered around S35E05.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-07-14T15:55Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-07-14T06:05Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 858.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 922.682 Acceleration: -1.98937 % Compiled module: CALDAT. Duration in seconds: 211319.05 Duration in days: 2.4458223 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -1.99 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 502.3 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 14/07/2023 Time: 06:05 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 32.77 hour(s)
Difference: 9.83 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2023-07-13T07:09Z
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